1 00:00:09,750 --> 00:00:07,909 hi i'm trent perado public affairs 2 00:00:11,669 --> 00:00:09,760 officer for nasa's science mission 3 00:00:13,110 --> 00:00:11,679 directorate in washington dc like to 4 00:00:14,549 --> 00:00:13,120 welcome you to today's news conference 5 00:00:16,070 --> 00:00:14,559 where we'll be discussing the latest 6 00:00:17,990 --> 00:00:16,080 discovery by the chandra x-ray 7 00:00:19,910 --> 00:00:18,000 observatory about an exceptional object 8 00:00:21,750 --> 00:00:19,920 in our cosmic neighborhood 9 00:00:23,670 --> 00:00:21,760 chandra is one of nasa's so-called great 10 00:00:25,589 --> 00:00:23,680 observatories it allows scientists from 11 00:00:27,029 --> 00:00:25,599 around the world to obtain x-ray images 12 00:00:28,790 --> 00:00:27,039 of exotic environments to better 13 00:00:30,870 --> 00:00:28,800 understand the structure and evolution 14 00:00:32,389 --> 00:00:30,880 of our universe for those joining us 15 00:00:34,110 --> 00:00:32,399 online you can find out more information 16 00:00:37,030 --> 00:00:34,120 on 17 00:00:38,470 --> 00:00:37,040 www.nasa.gov forward slash chandra 18 00:00:40,389 --> 00:00:38,480 as for the order of events today we'll 19 00:00:41,830 --> 00:00:40,399 have five panelists joining us each 20 00:00:43,350 --> 00:00:41,840 we'll give a short briefing and then 21 00:00:45,110 --> 00:00:43,360 we'll open the phone lines for questions 22 00:00:46,790 --> 00:00:45,120 and answers i'd like to take a brief 23 00:00:49,190 --> 00:00:46,800 moment just to welcome and introduce the 24 00:00:50,790 --> 00:00:49,200 panelists first we have john morse 25 00:00:53,350 --> 00:00:50,800 director of the astrophysics division 26 00:00:55,830 --> 00:00:53,360 nasa headquarters in washington next uh 27 00:00:57,750 --> 00:00:55,840 dan patnod astrophysicist at the harvard 28 00:00:59,430 --> 00:00:57,760 smithsonian center for astrophysics in 29 00:01:01,750 --> 00:00:59,440 cambridge massachusetts 30 00:01:03,270 --> 00:01:01,760 next avi loeb astrophysicist at the 31 00:01:05,990 --> 00:01:03,280 harvard smithsonian center for 32 00:01:08,230 --> 00:01:06,000 astrophysics in cambridge massachusetts 33 00:01:09,750 --> 00:01:08,240 kim weaver astrophysicist at the goddard 34 00:01:12,070 --> 00:01:09,760 space flight center in greenbelt 35 00:01:13,830 --> 00:01:12,080 maryland and joining us by phone is alex 36 00:01:16,149 --> 00:01:13,840 filippinko astrophysicist at the 37 00:01:17,270 --> 00:01:16,159 university of california berkeley 38 00:01:21,270 --> 00:01:17,280 and with that i'll hand off the 39 00:01:25,429 --> 00:01:23,030 thanks trent 40 00:01:27,830 --> 00:01:25,439 now some missions are like good wine 41 00:01:29,910 --> 00:01:27,840 they improve with time 42 00:01:33,109 --> 00:01:29,920 and the chandra x-ray observatory is 43 00:01:34,310 --> 00:01:33,119 certainly one of our gems 44 00:01:36,149 --> 00:01:34,320 if we could have the first graphic 45 00:01:39,990 --> 00:01:36,159 please 46 00:01:43,990 --> 00:01:40,000 now more than 11 years ago 47 00:01:47,429 --> 00:01:44,000 chandra was put into orbit by the sts-93 48 00:01:47,439 --> 00:01:52,069 and here we show the launch video 49 00:01:58,069 --> 00:01:54,469 back in 1999 50 00:02:00,469 --> 00:01:58,079 and then this is the deploy on orbit 51 00:02:02,789 --> 00:02:00,479 and that uh booster 52 00:02:04,950 --> 00:02:02,799 stage right there put chandra into its 53 00:02:07,510 --> 00:02:04,960 final science orbit which takes it all 54 00:02:10,389 --> 00:02:07,520 the way up to 44 000 miles above the 55 00:02:12,630 --> 00:02:10,399 earth and then swoops back in 56 00:02:15,110 --> 00:02:12,640 every orbit and it spends most of its 57 00:02:16,710 --> 00:02:15,120 time doing its science away from the 58 00:02:18,869 --> 00:02:16,720 earth 59 00:02:19,990 --> 00:02:18,879 now even starting with the first light 60 00:02:21,510 --> 00:02:20,000 image 61 00:02:23,589 --> 00:02:21,520 there has been 62 00:02:25,910 --> 00:02:23,599 extraordinary wealth of data coming from 63 00:02:27,589 --> 00:02:25,920 this truly great observatory 64 00:02:30,150 --> 00:02:27,599 so let's briefly look at some of the 65 00:02:31,509 --> 00:02:30,160 iconic data coming from chandra over the 66 00:02:34,070 --> 00:02:31,519 past decade 67 00:02:36,550 --> 00:02:34,080 in the first graphic we have the 68 00:02:38,710 --> 00:02:36,560 cassiopeia a supernova remnant 69 00:02:40,949 --> 00:02:38,720 and this is an exploded star in the 70 00:02:45,350 --> 00:02:40,959 neighborhood of the sun 71 00:02:48,390 --> 00:02:45,360 not too far away and it shows us uh 72 00:02:51,190 --> 00:02:48,400 very graphically how the elements 73 00:02:53,030 --> 00:02:51,200 are born inside the stars and then 74 00:02:54,869 --> 00:02:53,040 distributed out into the interstellar 75 00:02:57,110 --> 00:02:54,879 medium and the colors in this image 76 00:03:00,390 --> 00:02:57,120 actually tell us what the elements are 77 00:03:02,309 --> 00:03:00,400 whether it's oxygen or iron and so on in 78 00:03:04,390 --> 00:03:02,319 the next image 79 00:03:06,710 --> 00:03:04,400 this is the crab nebula 80 00:03:08,790 --> 00:03:06,720 and this shows swirling electrons around 81 00:03:10,630 --> 00:03:08,800 the pulsar at the middle of that 82 00:03:12,550 --> 00:03:10,640 exploded star 83 00:03:15,270 --> 00:03:12,560 in the next image 84 00:03:16,149 --> 00:03:15,280 we have the center of our galaxy 85 00:03:19,910 --> 00:03:16,159 and 86 00:03:22,229 --> 00:03:19,920 supermassive black holes at the centers 87 00:03:24,789 --> 00:03:22,239 of galaxies including here in 88 00:03:25,990 --> 00:03:24,799 sagittarius in our own center of the 89 00:03:27,830 --> 00:03:26,000 milky way 90 00:03:30,149 --> 00:03:27,840 in the next image 91 00:03:32,710 --> 00:03:30,159 we have the bullet cluster 92 00:03:34,470 --> 00:03:32,720 here in shown in the red 93 00:03:36,550 --> 00:03:34,480 chandra has mapped the x-rays coming 94 00:03:38,949 --> 00:03:36,560 from the hot normal matter 95 00:03:41,910 --> 00:03:38,959 as galaxy clusters collide out in the 96 00:03:44,789 --> 00:03:41,920 cosmos and it is shown how it differs 97 00:03:47,270 --> 00:03:44,799 from the blue which is mapping of the 98 00:03:49,110 --> 00:03:47,280 dark matter in this region 99 00:03:51,030 --> 00:03:49,120 and it shows us how the normal matter 100 00:03:52,470 --> 00:03:51,040 and the dark matter actually behave 101 00:03:54,229 --> 00:03:52,480 differently 102 00:03:56,710 --> 00:03:54,239 it doesn't tell us what dark matter is 103 00:03:58,229 --> 00:03:56,720 but it's a very important clue as to its 104 00:04:01,030 --> 00:03:58,239 nature 105 00:04:03,030 --> 00:04:01,040 and in the final image 106 00:04:06,149 --> 00:04:03,040 this is a deep field 107 00:04:08,309 --> 00:04:06,159 showing us the x-ray glow from objects 108 00:04:10,149 --> 00:04:08,319 such as distant quasars it tells us 109 00:04:12,630 --> 00:04:10,159 about the distribution 110 00:04:15,110 --> 00:04:12,640 of black holes throughout the universe 111 00:04:17,110 --> 00:04:15,120 and chandra is even responsible 112 00:04:18,629 --> 00:04:17,120 for making the only other independent 113 00:04:20,229 --> 00:04:18,639 measurement of the dark energy in the 114 00:04:22,550 --> 00:04:20,239 universe 115 00:04:24,870 --> 00:04:22,560 so it's not surprising that chandra 116 00:04:26,710 --> 00:04:24,880 scores well and in our most recent 117 00:04:28,710 --> 00:04:26,720 senior review 118 00:04:30,550 --> 00:04:28,720 of operating missions and astrophysics 119 00:04:32,870 --> 00:04:30,560 it was right at the very top 120 00:04:35,030 --> 00:04:32,880 for its science impact 121 00:04:36,469 --> 00:04:35,040 and so now let's hear about another one 122 00:04:38,629 --> 00:04:36,479 of the science 123 00:04:39,909 --> 00:04:38,639 results from chandra let me turn it over 124 00:04:40,790 --> 00:04:39,919 to dan 125 00:04:42,790 --> 00:04:40,800 thank you 126 00:04:44,629 --> 00:04:42,800 so today what we'd like to do is report 127 00:04:46,469 --> 00:04:44,639 on evidence for the detection of what 128 00:04:48,710 --> 00:04:46,479 might be the youngest black hole in 129 00:04:50,950 --> 00:04:48,720 observed in our own cosmic neighborhood 130 00:04:52,710 --> 00:04:50,960 born in a core collapse supernova this 131 00:04:54,950 --> 00:04:52,720 uh supernova was observed about 30 years 132 00:04:56,790 --> 00:04:54,960 ago now core collapse supernova are 133 00:04:59,270 --> 00:04:56,800 associated with the deaths of massive 134 00:05:00,870 --> 00:04:59,280 stars and it's believed that at least 135 00:05:02,710 --> 00:05:00,880 some of these events can result in the 136 00:05:04,469 --> 00:05:02,720 formation of black holes 137 00:05:06,230 --> 00:05:04,479 results such as this might actually be 138 00:05:07,510 --> 00:05:06,240 important because we don't know what the 139 00:05:09,749 --> 00:05:07,520 dividing line is between those 140 00:05:12,150 --> 00:05:09,759 supernovas which form black holes and 141 00:05:13,749 --> 00:05:12,160 those which form neutron stars this is 142 00:05:15,749 --> 00:05:13,759 something my colleague avi will discuss 143 00:05:18,629 --> 00:05:15,759 in a few minutes now this particular 144 00:05:21,430 --> 00:05:18,639 supernova supernova 1979c 145 00:05:23,590 --> 00:05:21,440 was observed in april 1979 by an amateur 146 00:05:25,909 --> 00:05:23,600 astronomer named gus johnson who's a 147 00:05:28,070 --> 00:05:25,919 school teacher from nearby swanton 148 00:05:30,710 --> 00:05:28,080 maryland he was observing the nearby 149 00:05:33,270 --> 00:05:30,720 galaxy m100 which is shown here 150 00:05:34,710 --> 00:05:33,280 in the digital sky survey and then again 151 00:05:36,629 --> 00:05:34,720 in the vlt 152 00:05:39,590 --> 00:05:36,639 and now as you see in x-rays where 153 00:05:41,270 --> 00:05:39,600 supernova 1979 c is actually seen he was 154 00:05:43,590 --> 00:05:41,280 observing it 155 00:05:45,350 --> 00:05:43,600 just because this is what he liked to do 156 00:05:46,870 --> 00:05:45,360 and at the time his was only the third 157 00:05:48,230 --> 00:05:46,880 discovery by direct detection of a 158 00:05:50,310 --> 00:05:48,240 supernova 159 00:05:51,510 --> 00:05:50,320 so in x-rays 160 00:05:53,990 --> 00:05:51,520 it's been observed with several 161 00:05:56,150 --> 00:05:54,000 observatories first with einstein x-ray 162 00:05:59,590 --> 00:05:56,160 telescope in 1980 which actually didn't 163 00:06:02,390 --> 00:05:59,600 detect it and then later on in 1995 with 164 00:06:04,469 --> 00:06:02,400 the rosat x-ray telescope now between 165 00:06:06,629 --> 00:06:04,479 observations with rosat and now there 166 00:06:09,909 --> 00:06:06,639 have been several observations done with 167 00:06:11,830 --> 00:06:09,919 chandra xmm newton and also swift 168 00:06:13,830 --> 00:06:11,840 and while it isn't unusual to observe 169 00:06:16,230 --> 00:06:13,840 x-rays coming from a young evolving 170 00:06:17,749 --> 00:06:16,240 supernova what is interesting is that 171 00:06:20,950 --> 00:06:17,759 the x-ray emission from this particular 172 00:06:23,029 --> 00:06:20,960 object has remained remarkably steady 173 00:06:25,350 --> 00:06:23,039 in addition while it's also been steady 174 00:06:27,110 --> 00:06:25,360 it's also been extremely bright 175 00:06:28,469 --> 00:06:27,120 and we interpret this high luminosity or 176 00:06:30,950 --> 00:06:28,479 high brightness as evidence for 177 00:06:33,270 --> 00:06:30,960 accretion of supernova material back 178 00:06:34,790 --> 00:06:33,280 onto the black hole now when we speak of 179 00:06:36,550 --> 00:06:34,800 accretion what we're talking about is 180 00:06:37,590 --> 00:06:36,560 material that's being fed back onto 181 00:06:39,830 --> 00:06:37,600 something 182 00:06:41,830 --> 00:06:39,840 and in the case here as it's accreted 183 00:06:43,270 --> 00:06:41,840 onto the black hole it heats up to very 184 00:06:45,909 --> 00:06:43,280 high temperatures and becomes very 185 00:06:47,830 --> 00:06:45,919 bright in x-rays in the case here we can 186 00:06:49,749 --> 00:06:47,840 use the brightness 187 00:06:51,270 --> 00:06:49,759 of the accretion onto the black hole to 188 00:06:53,110 --> 00:06:51,280 find out that this 189 00:06:55,909 --> 00:06:53,120 black hole probably has a mass of around 190 00:06:57,749 --> 00:06:55,919 five times the mass of our sun 191 00:06:59,510 --> 00:06:57,759 so the question becomes why is it that 192 00:07:00,870 --> 00:06:59,520 we think that some of the x-ray emission 193 00:07:02,629 --> 00:07:00,880 that we're observing or most of the 194 00:07:05,029 --> 00:07:02,639 x-ray emission that we're observing is 195 00:07:07,430 --> 00:07:05,039 coming from accretion onto a black hole 196 00:07:09,270 --> 00:07:07,440 and not by other some physical mechanism 197 00:07:11,990 --> 00:07:09,280 well as it turns out there are actually 198 00:07:14,230 --> 00:07:12,000 several mechanisms for x-ray emission 199 00:07:15,990 --> 00:07:14,240 from a supernova one is that you have 200 00:07:17,909 --> 00:07:16,000 the blast wave just expanding out into 201 00:07:19,510 --> 00:07:17,919 the progenitor as wind 202 00:07:21,189 --> 00:07:19,520 and in this case the blast wave will 203 00:07:23,350 --> 00:07:21,199 heat the surrounding material to high 204 00:07:25,430 --> 00:07:23,360 temperatures the problem with our that 205 00:07:26,870 --> 00:07:25,440 interpretation that we found in this 206 00:07:29,029 --> 00:07:26,880 case is that 207 00:07:30,550 --> 00:07:29,039 as the blast wave expands the x-ray 208 00:07:32,629 --> 00:07:30,560 emission should actually decrease with 209 00:07:34,150 --> 00:07:32,639 time because it's expanding the blast 210 00:07:35,990 --> 00:07:34,160 waves expanding into less and less 211 00:07:37,670 --> 00:07:36,000 material 212 00:07:39,270 --> 00:07:37,680 if we observed that the x-ray emission 213 00:07:40,870 --> 00:07:39,280 was fading we might actually be 214 00:07:42,950 --> 00:07:40,880 comfortable with that interpretation but 215 00:07:45,189 --> 00:07:42,960 as it is we weren't 216 00:07:47,350 --> 00:07:45,199 so another possibility is that when this 217 00:07:49,749 --> 00:07:47,360 star exploded it formed what's called a 218 00:07:51,510 --> 00:07:49,759 magnetar now magnetar is just a special 219 00:07:53,270 --> 00:07:51,520 type of neutron star with an extremely 220 00:07:55,670 --> 00:07:53,280 high magnetic field 221 00:07:57,990 --> 00:07:55,680 and the idea is that as this magnetar is 222 00:08:00,469 --> 00:07:58,000 formed it loses some of its rotational 223 00:08:02,550 --> 00:08:00,479 power to the uh 224 00:08:05,110 --> 00:08:02,560 it loses some of its rotational energy 225 00:08:07,270 --> 00:08:05,120 and powers the light curve in x-rays 226 00:08:08,550 --> 00:08:07,280 the problem here is that once again you 227 00:08:10,629 --> 00:08:08,560 know the x-ray emission is actually 228 00:08:11,589 --> 00:08:10,639 going to be assumed to decrease with 229 00:08:13,670 --> 00:08:11,599 time 230 00:08:15,430 --> 00:08:13,680 and we developed a model for what the 231 00:08:17,029 --> 00:08:15,440 magnetar emission should look like over 232 00:08:19,270 --> 00:08:17,039 time and we found that we're about a 233 00:08:21,270 --> 00:08:19,280 factor of 10 times brighter than what 234 00:08:22,629 --> 00:08:21,280 the model predicts 235 00:08:23,830 --> 00:08:22,639 so 236 00:08:25,189 --> 00:08:23,840 excuse me 237 00:08:27,110 --> 00:08:25,199 now while our observations are 238 00:08:28,710 --> 00:08:27,120 consistent with that of an accreting 239 00:08:31,029 --> 00:08:28,720 black hole there's actually another 240 00:08:32,230 --> 00:08:31,039 intriguing possibility and that is that 241 00:08:33,990 --> 00:08:32,240 we're looking at something called a 242 00:08:35,909 --> 00:08:34,000 pulsar wind nebula such as the crab 243 00:08:37,509 --> 00:08:35,919 nebula in our own galaxy 244 00:08:38,790 --> 00:08:37,519 in this case instead of looking at 245 00:08:41,029 --> 00:08:38,800 something that's actually accreting 246 00:08:43,110 --> 00:08:41,039 material we have a rapidly spinning 247 00:08:44,550 --> 00:08:43,120 neutron star that's sending out very 248 00:08:45,990 --> 00:08:44,560 high energy electrons and other 249 00:08:47,030 --> 00:08:46,000 particles out into the surrounding 250 00:08:48,949 --> 00:08:47,040 material 251 00:08:51,430 --> 00:08:48,959 and in that case we're actually looking 252 00:08:53,670 --> 00:08:51,440 at the emission from that star rather 253 00:08:55,910 --> 00:08:53,680 we're actually looking from the wind 254 00:08:57,509 --> 00:08:55,920 rather than from the accretion 255 00:08:59,829 --> 00:08:57,519 in any case whether it's a pulsar or 256 00:09:01,829 --> 00:08:59,839 nebula or a black hole we're looking at 257 00:09:04,310 --> 00:09:01,839 one of these objects in its infancy and 258 00:09:05,829 --> 00:09:04,320 that in and of itself is exciting 259 00:09:08,150 --> 00:09:05,839 so we have ideas as to how we can 260 00:09:09,990 --> 00:09:08,160 actually test these various theories and 261 00:09:12,070 --> 00:09:10,000 we have observations which are coming up 262 00:09:13,670 --> 00:09:12,080 in the near future and if we find that 263 00:09:15,829 --> 00:09:13,680 this particular object is still as 264 00:09:18,790 --> 00:09:15,839 bright as it's been for the last 265 00:09:19,910 --> 00:09:18,800 almost 20 years at this point in x-rays 266 00:09:23,110 --> 00:09:19,920 when you account for the fact that it 267 00:09:25,030 --> 00:09:23,120 was only redetected in 1995. 268 00:09:26,470 --> 00:09:25,040 we plan on maybe getting a longer 269 00:09:28,389 --> 00:09:26,480 observation where we can actually look 270 00:09:30,389 --> 00:09:28,399 at a detailed spectrum of this object 271 00:09:32,310 --> 00:09:30,399 and test whether the x-ray emission is 272 00:09:35,190 --> 00:09:32,320 coming from some sort of central compact 273 00:09:36,389 --> 00:09:35,200 object or the blast wave or possibly or 274 00:09:37,910 --> 00:09:36,399 likely a 275 00:09:40,150 --> 00:09:37,920 combination of both 276 00:09:41,990 --> 00:09:40,160 so with that i'd like to turn over 277 00:09:44,790 --> 00:09:42,000 the speaker to 278 00:09:46,550 --> 00:09:44,800 avi thank you 279 00:09:48,070 --> 00:09:46,560 so we are here to discuss a question 280 00:09:51,829 --> 00:09:48,080 that is often 281 00:09:53,590 --> 00:09:51,839 asked in hollywood how do stars end 282 00:09:55,110 --> 00:09:53,600 their life except we're dealing with 283 00:09:57,590 --> 00:09:55,120 real stars 284 00:09:59,269 --> 00:09:57,600 and when the star is 10 times more 285 00:10:01,590 --> 00:09:59,279 massive than the sun or even more than 286 00:10:04,150 --> 00:10:01,600 that 287 00:10:05,269 --> 00:10:04,160 the star the core of the star may 288 00:10:06,949 --> 00:10:05,279 collapse 289 00:10:09,430 --> 00:10:06,959 at the end of its life 290 00:10:11,990 --> 00:10:09,440 once the nuclear fuel is consumed in 291 00:10:13,990 --> 00:10:12,000 near the center of the star 292 00:10:15,910 --> 00:10:14,000 the core collapses loses pressure 293 00:10:17,509 --> 00:10:15,920 support and collapses upon itself due to 294 00:10:20,310 --> 00:10:17,519 its own gravity 295 00:10:22,870 --> 00:10:20,320 and it can end up in one of two ways 296 00:10:25,269 --> 00:10:22,880 either it makes a neutron star which is 297 00:10:27,590 --> 00:10:25,279 the densest form of matter 298 00:10:30,150 --> 00:10:27,600 that we know about it has the density 299 00:10:33,190 --> 00:10:30,160 similar to that of an atomic nucleus and 300 00:10:34,069 --> 00:10:33,200 a size comparable to that of a big city 301 00:10:36,470 --> 00:10:34,079 or 302 00:10:37,590 --> 00:10:36,480 it ends up in a black hole 303 00:10:40,150 --> 00:10:37,600 which is 304 00:10:41,190 --> 00:10:40,160 an object to which you can get in but 305 00:10:42,870 --> 00:10:41,200 can never 306 00:10:45,430 --> 00:10:42,880 get out of 307 00:10:47,269 --> 00:10:45,440 sort of the ultimate prison 308 00:10:49,350 --> 00:10:47,279 and theorists theoretical 309 00:10:50,470 --> 00:10:49,360 astrophysicists were debating for many 310 00:10:52,310 --> 00:10:50,480 years 311 00:10:54,310 --> 00:10:52,320 about the 312 00:10:56,710 --> 00:10:54,320 boundary between 313 00:10:59,350 --> 00:10:56,720 a star that can make a black hole and a 314 00:11:02,069 --> 00:10:59,360 star that can end up as a neutron star 315 00:11:04,150 --> 00:11:02,079 and the fate of the star depends on many 316 00:11:06,310 --> 00:11:04,160 factors most importantly the mass of the 317 00:11:08,069 --> 00:11:06,320 stars 318 00:11:10,550 --> 00:11:08,079 it can also depend on whether the star 319 00:11:12,069 --> 00:11:10,560 has a companion whether it rotates and 320 00:11:16,550 --> 00:11:12,079 so forth 321 00:11:19,750 --> 00:11:16,560 the progenitor of supernova 1979c 322 00:11:22,550 --> 00:11:19,760 uh is estimated uh to have been a star 323 00:11:24,470 --> 00:11:22,560 with 20 solar masses on the boundary uh 324 00:11:26,069 --> 00:11:24,480 the theories postulated for the 325 00:11:29,030 --> 00:11:26,079 transition between a neutron star and a 326 00:11:30,630 --> 00:11:29,040 black hole and so it could very well 327 00:11:33,670 --> 00:11:30,640 have been the progenitor appropriate for 328 00:11:35,829 --> 00:11:33,680 making a black hole 329 00:11:37,910 --> 00:11:35,839 this particular supernova belongs to a 330 00:11:40,630 --> 00:11:37,920 rare type of 331 00:11:42,949 --> 00:11:40,640 these explosive events 332 00:11:45,829 --> 00:11:42,959 that includes about six percent of all 333 00:11:49,110 --> 00:11:45,839 core collapse supernova these are called 334 00:11:49,910 --> 00:11:49,120 type two linear uh supernova in which 335 00:11:53,350 --> 00:11:49,920 the 336 00:11:56,069 --> 00:11:53,360 steadily 337 00:11:59,030 --> 00:11:56,079 by many orders of magnitude indifference 338 00:12:01,269 --> 00:11:59,040 for the more typical types of supernovae 339 00:12:02,230 --> 00:12:01,279 that reach a peak decline a little bit 340 00:12:04,470 --> 00:12:02,240 and then 341 00:12:07,269 --> 00:12:04,480 remain steady for a long while these are 342 00:12:10,470 --> 00:12:07,279 called type 2 plateau 343 00:12:11,990 --> 00:12:10,480 now about 20 percent of all core 344 00:12:15,269 --> 00:12:12,000 collapse supernova 345 00:12:16,230 --> 00:12:15,279 are believed to end up as black holes 346 00:12:18,310 --> 00:12:16,240 and 347 00:12:21,190 --> 00:12:18,320 it is believed that stars more massive 348 00:12:24,389 --> 00:12:21,200 than about 20 or 25 solar masses 349 00:12:26,710 --> 00:12:24,399 end their life that way if our 350 00:12:31,030 --> 00:12:26,720 interpretation is correct and indeed 351 00:12:33,269 --> 00:12:31,040 supernova 1979c ended up as a black hole 352 00:12:35,190 --> 00:12:33,279 then of course it's the first time 353 00:12:37,030 --> 00:12:35,200 that we are seeing 354 00:12:38,949 --> 00:12:37,040 a black hole being born 355 00:12:41,430 --> 00:12:38,959 in a normal supernova 356 00:12:44,230 --> 00:12:41,440 it has been conjectured for a while that 357 00:12:46,550 --> 00:12:44,240 black holes do form in explosive events 358 00:12:48,790 --> 00:12:46,560 that take place across the universe 359 00:12:50,710 --> 00:12:48,800 these are called gamma-ray bursts 360 00:12:52,310 --> 00:12:50,720 in these events 361 00:12:53,829 --> 00:12:52,320 the core of the star may collapse to 362 00:12:57,430 --> 00:12:53,839 make a black hole 363 00:12:59,750 --> 00:12:57,440 and the black hole produces jets of 364 00:13:01,670 --> 00:12:59,760 matter moving at speed as the speed 365 00:13:04,069 --> 00:13:01,680 close to the speed of light 366 00:13:06,470 --> 00:13:04,079 and those jets penetrate through the 367 00:13:09,190 --> 00:13:06,480 envelope of the star and eventually 368 00:13:11,990 --> 00:13:09,200 get out so that if an observer is lined 369 00:13:14,069 --> 00:13:12,000 up with the jet it would see 370 00:13:16,389 --> 00:13:14,079 a gamma-ray flash and we call these 371 00:13:19,190 --> 00:13:16,399 gamma-ray bursts we see such flashes 372 00:13:21,590 --> 00:13:19,200 roughly once a day coming 373 00:13:23,829 --> 00:13:21,600 from the edge of the universe 374 00:13:25,990 --> 00:13:23,839 however in this particular event there 375 00:13:27,990 --> 00:13:26,000 is no evidence for a gamma ray burst so 376 00:13:31,750 --> 00:13:28,000 it's the first time we see a black hole 377 00:13:33,350 --> 00:13:31,760 being born in a normal supernova 378 00:13:36,230 --> 00:13:33,360 now 379 00:13:38,629 --> 00:13:36,240 the luminosity that we observe in x-rays 380 00:13:40,629 --> 00:13:38,639 is close to the limiting luminosity that 381 00:13:43,189 --> 00:13:40,639 the black hole can have 382 00:13:45,670 --> 00:13:43,199 so if you feed a black hole 383 00:13:47,910 --> 00:13:45,680 with a lot of masses in this case the 384 00:13:51,910 --> 00:13:47,920 black hole may be fed 385 00:13:53,030 --> 00:13:51,920 by a disk of material surrounding it 386 00:13:55,269 --> 00:13:53,040 either 387 00:13:58,310 --> 00:13:55,279 as a result of material that was left 388 00:14:01,110 --> 00:13:58,320 behind from the supernova explosion or 389 00:14:03,189 --> 00:14:01,120 as a result of a binary star companion 390 00:14:05,829 --> 00:14:03,199 that donates mass 391 00:14:08,150 --> 00:14:05,839 to this black hole 392 00:14:10,230 --> 00:14:08,160 in that case 393 00:14:12,550 --> 00:14:10,240 if the luminosity coming from the 394 00:14:14,069 --> 00:14:12,560 vicinity of the black hole exceeds 395 00:14:14,870 --> 00:14:14,079 a certain limit 396 00:14:20,949 --> 00:14:14,880 the 397 00:14:23,189 --> 00:14:20,959 allow it 398 00:14:24,629 --> 00:14:23,199 to accrete onto the black hole and so 399 00:14:26,710 --> 00:14:24,639 there is this very natural 400 00:14:29,110 --> 00:14:26,720 characteristic luminosity that you would 401 00:14:31,670 --> 00:14:29,120 expect from a black hole that is fed 402 00:14:32,710 --> 00:14:31,680 well and this is roughly the luminosity 403 00:14:35,590 --> 00:14:32,720 that we see 404 00:14:38,629 --> 00:14:35,600 for the typical black hole masses 405 00:14:41,189 --> 00:14:38,639 of 5 to 10 solar masses that one expects 406 00:14:43,430 --> 00:14:41,199 from such events 407 00:14:46,310 --> 00:14:43,440 now it will take the black hole about 40 408 00:14:48,790 --> 00:14:46,320 million years to double its mass and so 409 00:14:50,949 --> 00:14:48,800 we cannot really trace a change in the 410 00:14:53,829 --> 00:14:50,959 mass of the black hole during the course 411 00:14:55,829 --> 00:14:53,839 of the observations the 31 years that we 412 00:14:58,310 --> 00:14:55,839 have observed this source but the fact 413 00:15:00,069 --> 00:14:58,320 that the luminosity is steady is a clear 414 00:15:01,750 --> 00:15:00,079 indication 415 00:15:04,230 --> 00:15:01,760 that we might be 416 00:15:05,350 --> 00:15:04,240 seeing a black hole accreting at its 417 00:15:07,269 --> 00:15:05,360 limiting 418 00:15:08,550 --> 00:15:07,279 accretion rate 419 00:15:10,629 --> 00:15:08,560 and 420 00:15:13,110 --> 00:15:10,639 in particular 421 00:15:15,509 --> 00:15:13,120 what we have are photos of this 422 00:15:17,829 --> 00:15:15,519 this source 423 00:15:19,189 --> 00:15:17,839 during the first 30 years during its 424 00:15:21,030 --> 00:15:19,199 infancy 425 00:15:22,790 --> 00:15:21,040 these photos are labeled by the age of 426 00:15:25,269 --> 00:15:22,800 the source even though it took them a 427 00:15:27,990 --> 00:15:25,279 long time to reach us 428 00:15:30,069 --> 00:15:28,000 as we observe them today 429 00:15:33,990 --> 00:15:30,079 if this is indeed a black hole then 430 00:15:35,990 --> 00:15:34,000 there are several important implications 431 00:15:38,230 --> 00:15:36,000 first 432 00:15:40,710 --> 00:15:38,240 to the basic question of how 433 00:15:43,030 --> 00:15:40,720 supernovae explode uh there are two 434 00:15:45,430 --> 00:15:43,040 possible energy sources for um an 435 00:15:46,870 --> 00:15:45,440 explosion it could either be a central 436 00:15:48,710 --> 00:15:46,880 engine 437 00:15:49,829 --> 00:15:48,720 just like the black hole that somehow 438 00:15:52,949 --> 00:15:49,839 releases 439 00:15:55,189 --> 00:15:52,959 energy into its vicinity and powers it 440 00:15:56,470 --> 00:15:55,199 that's how a gamma ray burst 441 00:15:59,030 --> 00:15:56,480 takes place 442 00:16:01,269 --> 00:15:59,040 or it could be a radioactive material 443 00:16:04,069 --> 00:16:01,279 that is produced in the supernova 444 00:16:08,310 --> 00:16:04,079 that is powering um the light curve of 445 00:16:10,790 --> 00:16:08,320 the supernova and so understanding the 446 00:16:12,629 --> 00:16:10,800 the way that supernovae explode and 447 00:16:14,629 --> 00:16:12,639 which fraction of them end up as black 448 00:16:16,550 --> 00:16:14,639 holes and which fraction end up as 449 00:16:19,110 --> 00:16:16,560 neutron stars is very important for our 450 00:16:21,590 --> 00:16:19,120 theoretical understanding of these 451 00:16:23,990 --> 00:16:21,600 important events 452 00:16:26,870 --> 00:16:24,000 theories for many years had a difficult 453 00:16:28,150 --> 00:16:26,880 time exploding massive stars on the 454 00:16:30,230 --> 00:16:28,160 computer 455 00:16:32,550 --> 00:16:30,240 and it's quite possible that 456 00:16:36,150 --> 00:16:32,560 they were right that in fact 457 00:16:38,629 --> 00:16:36,160 a fraction of those explosive events end 458 00:16:41,189 --> 00:16:38,639 up eventually imploding and making a 459 00:16:43,110 --> 00:16:41,199 black hole we don't know the relative 460 00:16:44,069 --> 00:16:43,120 statistics of black holes and neutron 461 00:16:46,310 --> 00:16:44,079 stars 462 00:16:48,389 --> 00:16:46,320 to a very good precision at the moment 463 00:16:51,110 --> 00:16:48,399 and so observing events like that are 464 00:16:53,749 --> 00:16:51,120 very important in terms of calibrating 465 00:16:55,110 --> 00:16:53,759 the statistics 466 00:16:57,749 --> 00:16:55,120 in addition 467 00:17:00,470 --> 00:16:57,759 black hole and neutron star binaries are 468 00:17:02,069 --> 00:17:00,480 important sources of gravitational waves 469 00:17:04,309 --> 00:17:02,079 and there are observatories being 470 00:17:05,990 --> 00:17:04,319 constructed to detect these waves and so 471 00:17:07,590 --> 00:17:06,000 we would like of course to know the 472 00:17:09,270 --> 00:17:07,600 abundance of black holes and neutron 473 00:17:11,429 --> 00:17:09,280 stars 474 00:17:13,750 --> 00:17:11,439 and overall we're dealing with the 475 00:17:15,909 --> 00:17:13,760 properties of matter at extreme 476 00:17:19,270 --> 00:17:15,919 conditions at very high densities close 477 00:17:20,949 --> 00:17:19,280 to that of an atomic nucleus 478 00:17:23,189 --> 00:17:20,959 and we cannot really reproduce these 479 00:17:25,750 --> 00:17:23,199 conditions in the laboratory and so by 480 00:17:28,230 --> 00:17:25,760 observing the sky we're able to learn 481 00:17:29,990 --> 00:17:28,240 about environments that cannot be 482 00:17:33,110 --> 00:17:30,000 reproduced in the lab 483 00:17:35,270 --> 00:17:33,120 and that can only be observed out there 484 00:17:38,150 --> 00:17:35,280 in the universe 485 00:17:40,150 --> 00:17:38,160 of course if we go back in time to the 486 00:17:42,150 --> 00:17:40,160 very first stars for example the 487 00:17:44,549 --> 00:17:42,160 conditions there were different 488 00:17:47,510 --> 00:17:44,559 it's quite possible as some theorists 489 00:17:49,909 --> 00:17:47,520 argue that massive stars were much more 490 00:17:51,750 --> 00:17:49,919 abundant at early times and so the 491 00:17:53,830 --> 00:17:51,760 formation of black holes 492 00:17:57,110 --> 00:17:53,840 may have been much more 493 00:17:59,990 --> 00:17:57,120 frequent at early cosmic times 494 00:18:01,830 --> 00:18:00,000 and i will turn this the stage to kim 495 00:18:04,870 --> 00:18:01,840 thanks avi thanks stan for explaining 496 00:18:06,950 --> 00:18:04,880 this exciting result um what is it that 497 00:18:09,590 --> 00:18:06,960 really matters in terms of this result 498 00:18:12,070 --> 00:18:09,600 it's not just that possibly we have 499 00:18:13,990 --> 00:18:12,080 found the youngest nearby black hole it 500 00:18:15,830 --> 00:18:14,000 is a young black hole but what's really 501 00:18:16,950 --> 00:18:15,840 exciting about it is that we know the 502 00:18:19,110 --> 00:18:16,960 exact 503 00:18:21,669 --> 00:18:19,120 birth date of the black hole we have 504 00:18:24,310 --> 00:18:21,679 found for the first time possibly the 505 00:18:26,789 --> 00:18:24,320 true birth date of a black hole and you 506 00:18:29,029 --> 00:18:26,799 may ask well aren't black holes in the 507 00:18:29,990 --> 00:18:29,039 early universe younger perhaps than this 508 00:18:31,669 --> 00:18:30,000 one 509 00:18:34,549 --> 00:18:31,679 certainly there are black holes that are 510 00:18:36,390 --> 00:18:34,559 forming um all the time and in the early 511 00:18:38,630 --> 00:18:36,400 universe there might be very young black 512 00:18:41,029 --> 00:18:38,640 holes but do we know their exact age do 513 00:18:42,950 --> 00:18:41,039 we know exactly how old they are no it's 514 00:18:44,710 --> 00:18:42,960 very difficult to do that 515 00:18:47,190 --> 00:18:44,720 when light has traveled billions and 516 00:18:49,029 --> 00:18:47,200 billions of years to reach us it's hard 517 00:18:51,430 --> 00:18:49,039 to say exactly when a black hole that 518 00:18:53,510 --> 00:18:51,440 we're looking at was born so this is a 519 00:18:55,750 --> 00:18:53,520 very important result to be able to 520 00:18:58,630 --> 00:18:55,760 pinpoint the birth date of a black hole 521 00:19:00,549 --> 00:18:58,640 for the first time and for me in terms 522 00:19:03,029 --> 00:19:00,559 of studying black holes what's exciting 523 00:19:05,270 --> 00:19:03,039 about it is that we know it's very young 524 00:19:08,150 --> 00:19:05,280 it is in its infancy if it is a black 525 00:19:10,150 --> 00:19:08,160 hole and we want to watch how this 526 00:19:12,470 --> 00:19:10,160 system evolves and changes in its 527 00:19:14,950 --> 00:19:12,480 youthful stages from when it's first 528 00:19:17,270 --> 00:19:14,960 born to when it goes into a child and a 529 00:19:18,950 --> 00:19:17,280 teenager and gets older and it creates 530 00:19:21,029 --> 00:19:18,960 more material because that's how we 531 00:19:22,150 --> 00:19:21,039 understand the physics of black hole 532 00:19:24,150 --> 00:19:22,160 systems 533 00:19:26,150 --> 00:19:24,160 so that's very important the other thing 534 00:19:28,710 --> 00:19:26,160 that's kind of neat about this story is 535 00:19:31,430 --> 00:19:28,720 it is a story it's a story of science in 536 00:19:33,430 --> 00:19:31,440 action and you you know you've heard a 537 00:19:36,230 --> 00:19:33,440 little bit about the the description of 538 00:19:38,870 --> 00:19:36,240 the observations when it was observed it 539 00:19:41,669 --> 00:19:38,880 was observed many times since with uh 540 00:19:44,390 --> 00:19:41,679 nasa satellites and other uh 541 00:19:46,950 --> 00:19:44,400 observatories and so astronomers around 542 00:19:49,669 --> 00:19:46,960 the globe have taken images and and data 543 00:19:51,669 --> 00:19:49,679 from this object and over time have put 544 00:19:54,070 --> 00:19:51,679 together this story which is sort of 545 00:19:56,070 --> 00:19:54,080 like a detective story taking pieces of 546 00:19:58,070 --> 00:19:56,080 the puzzle and putting them together and 547 00:20:00,310 --> 00:19:58,080 finally determining that yes indeed 548 00:20:01,990 --> 00:20:00,320 we've almost solved the puzzle now we 549 00:20:05,350 --> 00:20:02,000 just need a few more pieces so we're 550 00:20:06,390 --> 00:20:05,360 very close to understanding the true uh 551 00:20:09,029 --> 00:20:06,400 source 552 00:20:10,789 --> 00:20:09,039 the genesis of this this compact object 553 00:20:13,750 --> 00:20:10,799 in the center of this supernova 554 00:20:15,190 --> 00:20:13,760 explosion so that's very exciting um 555 00:20:16,870 --> 00:20:15,200 it's in its infancy we want to 556 00:20:18,870 --> 00:20:16,880 understand accretion and energy 557 00:20:20,390 --> 00:20:18,880 production in this object 558 00:20:22,470 --> 00:20:20,400 the thing that's interesting about 559 00:20:24,950 --> 00:20:22,480 supernova 1979c 560 00:20:27,430 --> 00:20:24,960 is that it's very difficult to see these 561 00:20:30,070 --> 00:20:27,440 objects even if there were many of them 562 00:20:33,590 --> 00:20:30,080 out there in our galaxy for example when 563 00:20:36,310 --> 00:20:33,600 a supernova goes off it it 564 00:20:38,390 --> 00:20:36,320 fills its region with material and so it 565 00:20:40,950 --> 00:20:38,400 might be difficult to look inside and 566 00:20:43,830 --> 00:20:40,960 see through the obscuration to see the 567 00:20:46,070 --> 00:20:43,840 black hole being formed also the light 568 00:20:49,110 --> 00:20:46,080 the integrated light from that supernova 569 00:20:51,190 --> 00:20:49,120 event might be too bright and might get 570 00:20:53,190 --> 00:20:51,200 in the way of seeing the light from the 571 00:20:55,350 --> 00:20:53,200 black hole accretion anyway so it 572 00:20:57,510 --> 00:20:55,360 probably takes about four to five years 573 00:21:00,070 --> 00:20:57,520 before you can really see the x-ray 574 00:21:02,310 --> 00:21:00,080 light coming out of the material around 575 00:21:04,630 --> 00:21:02,320 the black hole that makes this object 576 00:21:06,630 --> 00:21:04,640 actually perfect for detecting because 577 00:21:09,510 --> 00:21:06,640 it's roughly the right age to be able to 578 00:21:11,990 --> 00:21:09,520 see that x-ray signature pop out so it's 579 00:21:14,470 --> 00:21:12,000 a wonderful opportunity for astronomers 580 00:21:16,630 --> 00:21:14,480 to look at these young systems and i 581 00:21:18,630 --> 00:21:16,640 hope we can find many many more of them 582 00:21:21,110 --> 00:21:18,640 and now that we know a way to do that by 583 00:21:22,789 --> 00:21:21,120 using x-ray data hopefully astronomers 584 00:21:24,870 --> 00:21:22,799 will begin to look through the data and 585 00:21:27,110 --> 00:21:24,880 see if we can find more 586 00:21:29,430 --> 00:21:27,120 so what is the implication for finding 587 00:21:31,669 --> 00:21:29,440 more baby black holes in the universe 588 00:21:35,350 --> 00:21:31,679 again this is the first direct evidence 589 00:21:37,830 --> 00:21:35,360 for one the first strong direct evidence 590 00:21:39,669 --> 00:21:37,840 so to me it's sort of a new population 591 00:21:41,350 --> 00:21:39,679 of youthful objects 592 00:21:42,870 --> 00:21:41,360 you know i'd like to be able to see more 593 00:21:44,630 --> 00:21:42,880 young black holes because i want to 594 00:21:46,870 --> 00:21:44,640 understand what's happening right after 595 00:21:49,750 --> 00:21:46,880 they're born and they probably are very 596 00:21:52,950 --> 00:21:49,760 common another important tool here is 597 00:21:55,029 --> 00:21:52,960 the x-ray spectrum itself we see what we 598 00:21:57,430 --> 00:21:55,039 believe to be the x-ray spectrum of 599 00:22:00,470 --> 00:21:57,440 accretion around a black hole there are 600 00:22:02,070 --> 00:22:00,480 many objects out there that are compact 601 00:22:04,870 --> 00:22:02,080 that we think might be black holes but 602 00:22:07,270 --> 00:22:04,880 we're not sure and the only data we have 603 00:22:09,590 --> 00:22:07,280 are x-ray spectra so if we really know 604 00:22:11,669 --> 00:22:09,600 that this is one then we can take this 605 00:22:13,510 --> 00:22:11,679 spectrum and match it to the other x-ray 606 00:22:16,149 --> 00:22:13,520 specter and see if they look the same 607 00:22:18,710 --> 00:22:16,159 and if they do that's a very good 608 00:22:20,950 --> 00:22:18,720 indirect way to say oh these other 609 00:22:23,110 --> 00:22:20,960 things are also black holes so i think 610 00:22:26,310 --> 00:22:23,120 that this discovery is going to help 611 00:22:28,470 --> 00:22:26,320 astronomers add to our census of the 612 00:22:30,549 --> 00:22:28,480 number of black holes that we know about 613 00:22:35,110 --> 00:22:30,559 in the universe 614 00:22:40,390 --> 00:22:37,590 said this is an exciting discovery a 615 00:22:42,310 --> 00:22:40,400 very young black hole born just 31 years 616 00:22:44,230 --> 00:22:42,320 ago as seen by us 617 00:22:47,270 --> 00:22:44,240 so here we have essentially a baby 618 00:22:49,350 --> 00:22:47,280 picture of a stellar mass black hole 619 00:22:51,830 --> 00:22:49,360 one that is about five times the mass of 620 00:22:53,510 --> 00:22:51,840 the sun those are the stellar mass ones 621 00:22:56,310 --> 00:22:53,520 as opposed to the supermassive black 622 00:22:58,230 --> 00:22:56,320 holes in the centers of galaxies 623 00:23:01,190 --> 00:22:58,240 now we know of several dozen stellar 624 00:23:02,950 --> 00:23:01,200 mass black holes in our milky way galaxy 625 00:23:05,110 --> 00:23:02,960 and there are probably millions of them 626 00:23:06,470 --> 00:23:05,120 in each big galaxy but we don't know 627 00:23:08,149 --> 00:23:06,480 their ages 628 00:23:10,630 --> 00:23:08,159 most of them are probably millions or 629 00:23:13,110 --> 00:23:10,640 even billions of years old so here is 630 00:23:15,669 --> 00:23:13,120 one whose age we actually know 631 00:23:18,070 --> 00:23:15,679 and by continuing to observe this object 632 00:23:20,710 --> 00:23:18,080 we will be able to study how young black 633 00:23:22,470 --> 00:23:20,720 holes behave and especially how they 634 00:23:25,990 --> 00:23:22,480 swallow gas from their immediate 635 00:23:27,909 --> 00:23:26,000 surroundings how they accrete this gas 636 00:23:31,350 --> 00:23:27,919 now as avi said it's important to 637 00:23:33,190 --> 00:23:31,360 distinguish supernova 1979 c 638 00:23:35,669 --> 00:23:33,200 from another way of producing stellar 639 00:23:38,310 --> 00:23:35,679 mass black holes the so-called gamma-ray 640 00:23:39,990 --> 00:23:38,320 bursts or grbs 641 00:23:42,549 --> 00:23:40,000 now gamma-ray bursts are sometimes 642 00:23:44,950 --> 00:23:42,559 called the birth cries of black holes 643 00:23:46,630 --> 00:23:44,960 and it's true we we do indeed think that 644 00:23:47,669 --> 00:23:46,640 many of them produce stellar mass black 645 00:23:49,510 --> 00:23:47,679 holes 646 00:23:51,510 --> 00:23:49,520 but we still don't have any direct 647 00:23:53,909 --> 00:23:51,520 evidence that they produce black holes 648 00:23:56,630 --> 00:23:53,919 we have not yet detected the putative 649 00:23:58,470 --> 00:23:56,640 black holes in these objects 650 00:24:01,510 --> 00:23:58,480 gamma-ray bursts produce black holes 651 00:24:03,750 --> 00:24:01,520 through the merging of two neutron stars 652 00:24:06,789 --> 00:24:03,760 or through the collapse of a single 653 00:24:09,110 --> 00:24:06,799 extremely massive rotating star 654 00:24:11,990 --> 00:24:09,120 but such events are extremely rare 655 00:24:14,390 --> 00:24:12,000 supernova 1979c on the other hand may be 656 00:24:17,510 --> 00:24:14,400 more a more typical way in which massive 657 00:24:19,269 --> 00:24:17,520 stars produce black holes 658 00:24:22,070 --> 00:24:19,279 now another interesting difference is 659 00:24:24,310 --> 00:24:22,080 that grbs generally occur billions of 660 00:24:25,190 --> 00:24:24,320 light years away and billions of years 661 00:24:27,990 --> 00:24:25,200 ago 662 00:24:31,830 --> 00:24:28,000 whereas supernova 1979 c occurred in the 663 00:24:34,230 --> 00:24:31,840 relatively nearby beautiful galaxy m100 664 00:24:36,390 --> 00:24:34,240 in the virgo cluster only about 50 665 00:24:38,630 --> 00:24:36,400 million light years away 666 00:24:42,310 --> 00:24:38,640 so in a sense this object is almost in 667 00:24:43,990 --> 00:24:42,320 our backyard compared with typical grbs 668 00:24:45,510 --> 00:24:44,000 we'll be able to study it in much more 669 00:24:47,990 --> 00:24:45,520 detail we'll be able to study the 670 00:24:51,269 --> 00:24:48,000 secretion process 671 00:24:53,269 --> 00:24:51,279 as avi mentioned supernova 1979c was a 672 00:24:55,750 --> 00:24:53,279 relatively rare type of supernova a 673 00:24:58,070 --> 00:24:55,760 so-called type ii linear 674 00:24:59,909 --> 00:24:58,080 these kinds of exploding stars are only 675 00:25:01,590 --> 00:24:59,919 about five or six percent of core 676 00:25:03,590 --> 00:25:01,600 collapse supernovae 677 00:25:05,430 --> 00:25:03,600 and moreover only a small fraction of 678 00:25:06,630 --> 00:25:05,440 them probably produce black holes at 679 00:25:08,549 --> 00:25:06,640 their center 680 00:25:10,789 --> 00:25:08,559 the others produce a very dense type of 681 00:25:12,710 --> 00:25:10,799 star known as a neutron star 682 00:25:15,830 --> 00:25:12,720 but astronomers don't yet know what the 683 00:25:17,510 --> 00:25:15,840 dividing line in mass is between the 684 00:25:18,470 --> 00:25:17,520 types of stars that produce neutron 685 00:25:20,870 --> 00:25:18,480 stars 686 00:25:22,390 --> 00:25:20,880 versus those that produce black holes we 687 00:25:23,909 --> 00:25:22,400 just don't know what that dividing line 688 00:25:26,549 --> 00:25:23,919 is but it's important because we want to 689 00:25:28,070 --> 00:25:26,559 understand how exactly black holes are 690 00:25:30,950 --> 00:25:28,080 produced 691 00:25:33,430 --> 00:25:30,960 the star that formed supernova 79c 692 00:25:34,870 --> 00:25:33,440 probably had an initial mass of about 20 693 00:25:37,110 --> 00:25:34,880 solar masses 694 00:25:39,269 --> 00:25:37,120 and this might be very close to this 695 00:25:41,190 --> 00:25:39,279 dividing line in mass 696 00:25:43,830 --> 00:25:41,200 now there are certainly other variables 697 00:25:45,669 --> 00:25:43,840 such as how mass is lost from the star 698 00:25:47,909 --> 00:25:45,679 prior to the explosion 699 00:25:49,590 --> 00:25:47,919 and whether the star is in a binary 700 00:25:52,310 --> 00:25:49,600 stellar system 701 00:25:55,029 --> 00:25:52,320 supernova 1979c in fact may have been in 702 00:25:56,710 --> 00:25:55,039 a binary stellar system but in any case 703 00:25:57,750 --> 00:25:56,720 the supernova will help astronomers 704 00:25:59,990 --> 00:25:57,760 determine 705 00:26:03,669 --> 00:26:00,000 which stellar explosions make black 706 00:26:05,269 --> 00:26:03,679 holes and which ones make neutron stars 707 00:26:07,350 --> 00:26:05,279 and this will also tell us about the 708 00:26:09,110 --> 00:26:07,360 nature of matter at very high densities 709 00:26:10,789 --> 00:26:09,120 and we can't study that in terrestrial 710 00:26:13,190 --> 00:26:10,799 laboratories you know you can't go to 711 00:26:15,669 --> 00:26:13,200 the hardware store and buy a neutron 712 00:26:17,909 --> 00:26:15,679 star whereas here we have a case that 713 00:26:19,909 --> 00:26:17,919 may be telling us the dividing line at 714 00:26:22,149 --> 00:26:19,919 which point a ball of matter becomes 715 00:26:24,630 --> 00:26:22,159 unstable and gravitationally collapses 716 00:26:26,390 --> 00:26:24,640 to form a black hole 717 00:26:29,029 --> 00:26:26,400 the final possibility i want to mention 718 00:26:29,990 --> 00:26:29,039 is that as dan said this might be 719 00:26:33,190 --> 00:26:30,000 powered 720 00:26:35,510 --> 00:26:33,200 by a pulsar wind nebula not necessarily 721 00:26:37,750 --> 00:26:35,520 by accretion onto a black hole but to me 722 00:26:39,750 --> 00:26:37,760 that would also be interesting because 723 00:26:41,350 --> 00:26:39,760 this would be the youngest known pulsar 724 00:26:43,590 --> 00:26:41,360 wind nebula 725 00:26:45,830 --> 00:26:43,600 now a great example of such an object is 726 00:26:47,669 --> 00:26:45,840 the crab nebula which is nearly a 727 00:26:49,590 --> 00:26:47,679 thousand years old it was the remnant 728 00:26:51,510 --> 00:26:49,600 it's the remnant of the supernova that 729 00:26:54,230 --> 00:26:51,520 was studied by chinese astronomers in 730 00:26:56,470 --> 00:26:54,240 the year 1054. and it's been studied by 731 00:26:59,590 --> 00:26:56,480 astronomers in great detail 732 00:27:02,789 --> 00:26:59,600 what we see in supernova 1979 see may be 733 00:27:04,390 --> 00:27:02,799 a very young version of the crab nebula 734 00:27:07,510 --> 00:27:04,400 and it will help us understand the 735 00:27:08,870 --> 00:27:07,520 evolution of such objects through time 736 00:27:11,269 --> 00:27:08,880 so i'm pretty excited about this 737 00:27:13,830 --> 00:27:11,279 discovery regardless of whether it turns 738 00:27:15,990 --> 00:27:13,840 out to be a young black hole or a pulsar 739 00:27:20,950 --> 00:27:16,000 wind nebula we should keep on observing 740 00:27:22,789 --> 00:27:20,960 it to learn more about it thanks 741 00:27:24,230 --> 00:27:22,799 okay great uh thank you very much alex 742 00:27:26,470 --> 00:27:24,240 uh now we're going to move on to the 743 00:27:28,230 --> 00:27:26,480 question and answer session uh for all 744 00:27:30,070 --> 00:27:28,240 participants please identify yourself 745 00:27:32,310 --> 00:27:30,080 and your media affiliation before asking 746 00:27:34,389 --> 00:27:32,320 your question uh and if possible direct 747 00:27:36,230 --> 00:27:34,399 your question to a specific panelist for 748 00:27:37,669 --> 00:27:36,240 those joining by phone you can signal 749 00:27:39,510 --> 00:27:37,679 the operator that you have a question by 750 00:27:40,549 --> 00:27:39,520 pushing the star one keys on your 751 00:27:42,389 --> 00:27:40,559 telephone 752 00:27:43,669 --> 00:27:42,399 um and we have a number of press online 753 00:27:46,149 --> 00:27:43,679 with us so i'd ask you to please limit 754 00:27:47,750 --> 00:27:46,159 yourself to one question to start 755 00:27:49,669 --> 00:27:47,760 i understand that we have a question on 756 00:27:51,190 --> 00:27:49,679 the phone from seth bornstein from the 757 00:27:54,149 --> 00:27:51,200 associated press 758 00:27:57,669 --> 00:27:55,669 thank you so much for doing this i guess 759 00:27:59,430 --> 00:27:57,679 this would be for avi or 760 00:28:02,870 --> 00:27:59,440 or kimberly weaver 761 00:28:06,630 --> 00:28:02,880 um it's a two-part question then first 762 00:28:09,590 --> 00:28:06,640 is if this is in indeed a uh 763 00:28:12,230 --> 00:28:09,600 uh if if it is not uh uh black hole and 764 00:28:14,710 --> 00:28:12,240 as a pulsar wind nebula our pulsar wind 765 00:28:18,070 --> 00:28:14,720 nebulas more rare than black holes in 766 00:28:19,830 --> 00:28:18,080 the in our um in our cosmic neighborhood 767 00:28:21,510 --> 00:28:19,840 um in other words which is more rare and 768 00:28:24,230 --> 00:28:21,520 then the second part is 769 00:28:28,070 --> 00:28:24,240 would this if this is a black hole would 770 00:28:29,590 --> 00:28:28,080 the this be the smallest mass of a star 771 00:28:32,870 --> 00:28:29,600 that led to a black hole that we've 772 00:28:37,750 --> 00:28:32,880 observed so far with the 20 mass 773 00:28:39,269 --> 00:28:37,760 of the star that involved here thank you 774 00:28:40,630 --> 00:28:39,279 so um 775 00:28:43,590 --> 00:28:40,640 this is avi 776 00:28:44,389 --> 00:28:43,600 um pulsar win the nebular much more 777 00:28:48,950 --> 00:28:44,399 common 778 00:28:50,789 --> 00:28:48,960 black hole remnants 779 00:28:52,870 --> 00:28:50,799 simply because only a small fraction of 780 00:28:53,990 --> 00:28:52,880 all core collapse supernovae 781 00:28:55,510 --> 00:28:54,000 end up 782 00:28:58,549 --> 00:28:55,520 in a black hole 783 00:29:00,230 --> 00:28:58,559 and that's of course a theoretical 784 00:29:02,389 --> 00:29:00,240 estimate but it's also 785 00:29:04,310 --> 00:29:02,399 backed by data we have 786 00:29:06,230 --> 00:29:04,320 on the frequency by which we observe 787 00:29:10,190 --> 00:29:06,240 evidence for black holes 788 00:29:13,590 --> 00:29:10,200 in binary star systems 789 00:29:15,430 --> 00:29:13,600 now um 790 00:29:18,310 --> 00:29:15,440 to answer um 791 00:29:20,149 --> 00:29:18,320 the second um question you had 792 00:29:25,990 --> 00:29:20,159 um 793 00:29:28,310 --> 00:29:26,000 terms of this being possibly the 794 00:29:30,230 --> 00:29:28,320 smallest mass star that has ever made a 795 00:29:32,710 --> 00:29:30,240 stellar size black hole we don't know 796 00:29:34,870 --> 00:29:32,720 the answer to that because it's it's not 797 00:29:37,029 --> 00:29:34,880 clear what the masses of the progenitors 798 00:29:40,149 --> 00:29:37,039 really are and this is a piece of data 799 00:29:42,710 --> 00:29:40,159 that's going to help us understand that 800 00:29:44,950 --> 00:29:42,720 sort of limiting mass between making a 801 00:29:46,870 --> 00:29:44,960 black hole and a neutron star so we we 802 00:29:48,549 --> 00:29:46,880 don't know the answer and these data 803 00:29:52,070 --> 00:29:48,559 will lead us to the answer to that 804 00:29:54,870 --> 00:29:53,269 okay great 805 00:29:56,470 --> 00:29:54,880 uh thanks very much let me just check 806 00:29:59,350 --> 00:29:56,480 and see if there are any questions here 807 00:30:00,710 --> 00:29:59,360 in the uh in the audience 808 00:30:03,110 --> 00:30:00,720 no 809 00:30:05,990 --> 00:30:03,120 back to the phones uh just reminder hit 810 00:30:12,149 --> 00:30:06,000 uh to hit star one uh on your telephone 811 00:30:17,669 --> 00:30:15,190 okay uh kristen minogue from science 812 00:30:19,510 --> 00:30:17,679 magazine you're on 813 00:30:20,870 --> 00:30:19,520 go ahead thank you for talking to us 814 00:30:22,789 --> 00:30:20,880 today 815 00:30:25,269 --> 00:30:22,799 this could be a very obvious question so 816 00:30:27,669 --> 00:30:25,279 if it is i apologize for it um 817 00:30:29,830 --> 00:30:27,679 i'm curious since the supernova occurred 818 00:30:31,510 --> 00:30:29,840 in a galaxy 50 million light years away 819 00:30:33,110 --> 00:30:31,520 from earth i don't know the age of the 820 00:30:35,269 --> 00:30:33,120 black hole is like 30 years old how is 821 00:30:38,149 --> 00:30:35,279 that possible 822 00:30:40,470 --> 00:30:38,159 i'll handle this so this is dan 823 00:30:42,549 --> 00:30:40,480 so when we talk about how old the black 824 00:30:44,389 --> 00:30:42,559 hole is or how old the um 825 00:30:47,269 --> 00:30:44,399 the supernova is we're actually 826 00:30:50,389 --> 00:30:47,279 referring to how old it is with regards 827 00:30:52,230 --> 00:30:50,399 to when we first observed it so 828 00:30:54,710 --> 00:30:52,240 when we say it's 30 years ago it means 829 00:30:55,510 --> 00:30:54,720 that that's when we saw it 830 00:30:58,389 --> 00:30:55,520 now 831 00:30:59,830 --> 00:30:58,399 the galaxy is is 50 million light years 832 00:31:01,110 --> 00:30:59,840 ago away 833 00:31:02,710 --> 00:31:01,120 so 834 00:31:05,350 --> 00:31:02,720 um 835 00:31:07,509 --> 00:31:05,360 in its own frame of reference that 836 00:31:08,310 --> 00:31:07,519 occurred 50 million years ago 837 00:31:11,430 --> 00:31:08,320 so 838 00:31:13,509 --> 00:31:11,440 another way to put it is um 839 00:31:16,549 --> 00:31:13,519 if you are assembling a photo album of 840 00:31:19,350 --> 00:31:16,559 your family you can have pictures in it 841 00:31:20,470 --> 00:31:19,360 that are labeled by the age of the 842 00:31:22,870 --> 00:31:20,480 person 843 00:31:24,789 --> 00:31:22,880 rather than by the time it took 844 00:31:27,190 --> 00:31:24,799 uh these pictures to be put together in 845 00:31:28,230 --> 00:31:27,200 the album so in our case 846 00:31:30,710 --> 00:31:28,240 it took 847 00:31:34,310 --> 00:31:30,720 the picture to arrive to us a lot of 848 00:31:36,230 --> 00:31:34,320 time but what we see is a picture of the 849 00:31:38,310 --> 00:31:36,240 object of the source when it was very 850 00:31:42,070 --> 00:31:38,320 young and that's what we refer to as the 851 00:31:46,070 --> 00:31:43,990 okay great thank you the next question 852 00:31:48,870 --> 00:31:46,080 comes from mark kaufman washington post 853 00:31:53,029 --> 00:31:50,950 yes sir thank you very much uh just 854 00:31:54,470 --> 00:31:53,039 trying to understand something about the 855 00:31:56,870 --> 00:31:54,480 presence of the 856 00:31:58,950 --> 00:31:56,880 um of the gamma-ray burst 857 00:32:00,710 --> 00:31:58,960 type supernova 858 00:32:03,509 --> 00:32:00,720 and black holes that would be coming 859 00:32:06,470 --> 00:32:03,519 from them uh do those also exist and 860 00:32:09,110 --> 00:32:06,480 they occur in the milky way or is this 861 00:32:11,269 --> 00:32:09,120 something that is you know with further 862 00:32:13,190 --> 00:32:11,279 back in time and as a result would be 863 00:32:15,590 --> 00:32:13,200 very different in that sense 864 00:32:17,669 --> 00:32:15,600 um this is avi um 865 00:32:19,990 --> 00:32:17,679 gamma ray bursts occur in all galaxies 866 00:32:22,230 --> 00:32:20,000 they just occur much much less 867 00:32:24,549 --> 00:32:22,240 frequently than supernova only a small 868 00:32:26,230 --> 00:32:24,559 fraction of all 869 00:32:28,070 --> 00:32:26,240 collapses of 870 00:32:31,110 --> 00:32:28,080 massive stars end up in a gamma ray 871 00:32:31,909 --> 00:32:31,120 burst so in a galaxy like our own we 872 00:32:33,990 --> 00:32:31,919 have 873 00:32:34,789 --> 00:32:34,000 to wait a long time before we will see 874 00:32:36,230 --> 00:32:34,799 one 875 00:32:38,470 --> 00:32:36,240 gamma ray burst 876 00:32:41,590 --> 00:32:38,480 we only have to wait a century or so 877 00:32:42,789 --> 00:32:41,600 before we see a new supernova 878 00:32:46,149 --> 00:32:42,799 and 879 00:32:48,070 --> 00:32:46,159 you need to wait now there are many more 880 00:32:49,990 --> 00:32:48,080 galaxies filling up the universe so that 881 00:32:52,710 --> 00:32:50,000 you don't have to wait that long if you 882 00:32:55,190 --> 00:32:52,720 were to observe the entire universe so 883 00:32:56,789 --> 00:32:55,200 we are seeing a gamma ray burst every 884 00:33:00,470 --> 00:32:56,799 day simply because we are looking at 885 00:33:02,310 --> 00:33:00,480 many many galaxies at once 886 00:33:03,909 --> 00:33:02,320 the conditions necessary to make a 887 00:33:05,830 --> 00:33:03,919 gamma-ray burst 888 00:33:07,909 --> 00:33:05,840 are very special not only that you need 889 00:33:11,110 --> 00:33:07,919 to make a black hole the black hole 890 00:33:13,590 --> 00:33:11,120 needs to produce jets of material moving 891 00:33:15,509 --> 00:33:13,600 close to the speed of light and the jets 892 00:33:17,110 --> 00:33:15,519 should be able to penetrate through the 893 00:33:19,669 --> 00:33:17,120 envelope of the star 894 00:33:21,350 --> 00:33:19,679 and reach the outside world 895 00:33:22,950 --> 00:33:21,360 before they slow down 896 00:33:24,470 --> 00:33:22,960 so it's quite possible that some 897 00:33:26,389 --> 00:33:24,480 gamma-ray bursts 898 00:33:29,110 --> 00:33:26,399 do not make it 899 00:33:30,310 --> 00:33:29,120 some fail and end up in a supernova 900 00:33:32,710 --> 00:33:30,320 explosion 901 00:33:35,350 --> 00:33:32,720 we don't know in this particular case of 902 00:33:37,509 --> 00:33:35,360 a supernova whether that was the case 903 00:33:39,590 --> 00:33:37,519 or perhaps 904 00:33:41,750 --> 00:33:39,600 a neutron star formed and then material 905 00:33:44,310 --> 00:33:41,760 fell onto the neutron star to make a 906 00:33:46,230 --> 00:33:44,320 black hole it's of course possible that 907 00:33:47,029 --> 00:33:46,240 the black hole formed 908 00:33:49,110 --> 00:33:47,039 just 909 00:33:51,669 --> 00:33:49,120 at once at the beginning 910 00:33:53,669 --> 00:33:51,679 and then helped to power this very 911 00:33:55,590 --> 00:33:53,679 energetic supernova this is one of the 912 00:33:59,590 --> 00:33:55,600 brightest supernova 913 00:34:03,669 --> 00:34:01,269 great thank you uh our next question 914 00:34:07,430 --> 00:34:03,679 comes from irene klotz at the discovery 915 00:34:11,349 --> 00:34:09,109 um thank you very much i was just 916 00:34:13,829 --> 00:34:11,359 wondering of which of these two theories 917 00:34:15,909 --> 00:34:13,839 you still think is most likely um you 918 00:34:17,510 --> 00:34:15,919 laid out a really nice 919 00:34:19,909 --> 00:34:17,520 presentation for what it would mean if 920 00:34:22,310 --> 00:34:19,919 it was a really young black hole but it 921 00:34:23,829 --> 00:34:22,320 seems that that whole 922 00:34:27,349 --> 00:34:23,839 kind of line of 923 00:34:29,109 --> 00:34:27,359 of reasoning might not even be right so 924 00:34:30,950 --> 00:34:29,119 if you maybe can just 925 00:34:32,550 --> 00:34:30,960 put some context or some way of 926 00:34:34,230 --> 00:34:32,560 understanding um 927 00:34:36,950 --> 00:34:34,240 which of these two theories you think is 928 00:34:39,430 --> 00:34:36,960 more likely thanks 929 00:34:42,069 --> 00:34:39,440 um well i don't think that we can 930 00:34:44,470 --> 00:34:42,079 definitively answer that just yet 931 00:34:46,550 --> 00:34:44,480 we we have you know several years worth 932 00:34:49,349 --> 00:34:46,560 of x-ray observations but the problem is 933 00:34:51,750 --> 00:34:49,359 is that we don't have a very deep 934 00:34:53,829 --> 00:34:51,760 observation to actually look at what the 935 00:34:55,510 --> 00:34:53,839 emission from this source looks like in 936 00:34:57,190 --> 00:34:55,520 detail 937 00:34:59,829 --> 00:34:57,200 and that's what we need to do in order 938 00:35:01,190 --> 00:34:59,839 to test these theory test one theory 939 00:35:03,670 --> 00:35:01,200 against the other 940 00:35:05,270 --> 00:35:03,680 right now we can only look at the look 941 00:35:06,550 --> 00:35:05,280 at the x-ray light curve over a long 942 00:35:09,510 --> 00:35:06,560 period of time 943 00:35:11,510 --> 00:35:09,520 and look at least qualitatively at its 944 00:35:13,349 --> 00:35:11,520 x-ray spectrum over that same period of 945 00:35:15,750 --> 00:35:13,359 time 946 00:35:17,829 --> 00:35:15,760 and the shape of that spectrum 947 00:35:19,349 --> 00:35:17,839 is consistent with both an accreting 948 00:35:21,670 --> 00:35:19,359 black hole 949 00:35:24,230 --> 00:35:21,680 and also it's consistent with emission 950 00:35:26,069 --> 00:35:24,240 from a pulsar wind nebula if you look at 951 00:35:27,670 --> 00:35:26,079 it for a lot longer you would actually 952 00:35:29,910 --> 00:35:27,680 be able to distinguish between the two 953 00:35:31,910 --> 00:35:29,920 so we can't rule out one or the other at 954 00:35:34,069 --> 00:35:31,920 this point 955 00:35:36,390 --> 00:35:34,079 and if i can add them the x-ray 956 00:35:38,390 --> 00:35:36,400 luminosity has a special meaning in the 957 00:35:40,230 --> 00:35:38,400 case of a black hole it's 958 00:35:42,470 --> 00:35:40,240 the limiting luminosity that a black 959 00:35:44,790 --> 00:35:42,480 hole could have if it has a mass of 960 00:35:47,829 --> 00:35:44,800 order 5 to ten solar masses 961 00:35:50,710 --> 00:35:47,839 in the case of a pulsar wind the nebula 962 00:35:52,710 --> 00:35:50,720 you could have a variety of um 963 00:35:54,630 --> 00:35:52,720 x-ray luminosities since 964 00:35:55,910 --> 00:35:54,640 the emission there is not powered by a 965 00:35:56,829 --> 00:35:55,920 christian 966 00:36:00,710 --> 00:35:56,839 and 967 00:36:02,950 --> 00:36:00,720 so if indeed it's it's a black hole the 968 00:36:04,710 --> 00:36:02,960 the understanding of why we're seeing 969 00:36:06,710 --> 00:36:04,720 this particular luminosity is more 970 00:36:09,270 --> 00:36:06,720 straightforward 971 00:36:11,670 --> 00:36:09,280 oh and i'll add too this is kim um there 972 00:36:13,910 --> 00:36:11,680 are other supernova remnants that are 973 00:36:16,710 --> 00:36:13,920 being looked at to see if they can see 974 00:36:19,030 --> 00:36:16,720 evidence for accretion showing up and so 975 00:36:21,190 --> 00:36:19,040 far that's not been the case so we're 976 00:36:24,470 --> 00:36:21,200 seeing something here that we've not 977 00:36:25,510 --> 00:36:24,480 seen in other objects which leads me to 978 00:36:27,349 --> 00:36:25,520 favor 979 00:36:30,630 --> 00:36:27,359 just personally the black hole 980 00:36:33,589 --> 00:36:32,150 uh let me just take a quick moment to 981 00:36:35,670 --> 00:36:33,599 remind folks that uh if you're 982 00:36:37,430 --> 00:36:35,680 participating online you can find out 983 00:36:39,950 --> 00:36:37,440 more information about 984 00:36:42,550 --> 00:36:39,960 chandra and this discovery at 985 00:36:45,510 --> 00:36:42,560 www.nasa.gov forward slash chandra and 986 00:36:47,430 --> 00:36:45,520 at chandra.harvard.edu 987 00:36:50,150 --> 00:36:47,440 let me take any questions in the 988 00:36:54,550 --> 00:36:50,160 audience if there's anything further 989 00:36:56,390 --> 00:36:54,560 okay any questions by phone 990 00:36:57,829 --> 00:36:56,400 okay then with that well in today's 991 00:37:00,870 --> 00:36:57,839 media conference i'd like to thank the 992 00:37:02,950 --> 00:37:00,880 panelists for their time today um again